Forthcoming and Online First Articles

International Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management

International Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management (IJBCRM)

Forthcoming articles have been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication but are pending final changes, are not yet published and may not appear here in their final order of publication until they are assigned to issues. Therefore, the content conforms to our standards but the presentation (e.g. typesetting and proof-reading) is not necessarily up to the Inderscience standard. Additionally, titles, authors, abstracts and keywords may change before publication. Articles will not be published until the final proofs are validated by their authors.

Forthcoming articles must be purchased for the purposes of research, teaching and private study only. These articles can be cited using the expression "in press". For example: Smith, J. (in press). Article Title. Journal Title.

Articles marked with this shopping trolley icon are available for purchase - click on the icon to send an email request to purchase.

Online First articles are published online here, before they appear in a journal issue. Online First articles are fully citeable, complete with a DOI. They can be cited, read, and downloaded. Online First articles are published as Open Access (OA) articles to make the latest research available as early as possible.

Open AccessArticles marked with this Open Access icon are Online First articles. They are freely available and openly accessible to all without any restriction except the ones stated in their respective CC licenses.

Register for our alerting service, which notifies you by email when new issues are published online.

We also offer which provide timely updates of tables of contents, newly published articles and calls for papers.

International Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management (8 papers in press)

Regular Issues

  • Exploring the Impact of Information Technology on the Relationship between Management Skills, Risk Management, and Project Success in Construction Industries   Order a copy of this article
    by Sahel Niyafard, Samira Sadat Jalalian, Farid Damirchi, Seyedalireza Jazayerifar, Shahin Heidari 
    Abstract: Global industries are associated with risk; the construction industry is not an exception. The construction industry has a complex nature, involving different participants; therefore, additional risk is imposed on construction projects. Therefore, with the aid of information technology (IT) as a moderating factor, the purpose of this study was to develop an understanding of the impact of management skills and risk management on the success of construction projects. The method was descriptive correlational research with structural equation modelling (SEM). In this study, 146 expert managers of construction projects in Iran participated. A questionnaire was used to collect the data. By using SmartPLS, PLS-based SEM was used to analyse the data. As the results show, management skills (technical, human, and perceptual skills) and risk management lead to an increase in the success of construction projects, and IT moderates the risk management effect on construction project success.
    Keywords: management skills; risk management; information technology; success of construction projects.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10059509
     
  • Modelling Credit Risk using Merton-KMV Model: Evidence from selected Indian Firms   Order a copy of this article
    by Kumar Sudheer Raj, Mahadev Ota 
    Abstract: This paper focuses on the credit risk modelling of Indian companies, with the aim of determining their likelihood of default. The study uses the Merton model to estimate credit risk and the KMV1 model to verify the results. Additionally, the Altman Z-Score model is used to provide an alternative approach to credit risk modelling. The paper shows that the financial metrics of a firm are a critical determinant of credit risk, with firms that have worse financial metrics being more likely to default. The paper’s findings are relevant to investors and other stakeholders who rely on credit ratings to make investment decisions. By providing a better understanding of the creditworthiness of Indian firms, the paper may help investors to make more informed investment decisions. The study also contributes to current finance research by providing alternative methods for estimating credit risk. Overall, the paper’s empirical analysis shows that credit risk modelling is a crucial tool for measuring the creditworthiness of firms. The study provides a comprehensive analysis of the likelihood of default in Indian firms.
    Keywords: Merton KMV; credit risk modelling; Altman Z-Score; default probability; asset; volatility.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10060248
     
  • Confirmatory factor analysis of the adaptation guidelines to technology disruption problems   Order a copy of this article
    by Chatchai Poungsuwan, Kanyarat Sukhawatthanakun, Raknarin Sanrach 
    Abstract: This research aimed to examine the second-order confirmatory factors of the adaptation guidelines to technology disruption problems of Thai financial institutions and to turn the efficient practices strategies into a guidelines model. This study was mixed method research using qualitative and quantitative. First, the quantitative data was gathered from 500 executives of Thai financial institutions via questionnaires. Then, descriptive, inference, and multivariate statistics were used to analyse the collected data. Finally, the empirical evidence data from Thai financial institutions were supported by the developed confirmatory factor and second-order confirmatory factor analysis models and passed the evaluation standards. As a result, the four latent variables comprising workforce management, competitiveness, resource management, and business development are suitable for Thai financial institutions’ strategies to handle the technology disruption problems.
    Keywords: adaptation guidelines; technology disruption problem; business development; Thai financial institutions; confirmatory factor analysis.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10060566
     
  • Predicting and Diagnosing Self-Intermittent Faults in A Dynamic Distributed Attack on Wireless Sensor Network   Order a copy of this article
    by Bhabani Sankar Gouda, Parimal Giri, Sudhakar Das, Trilochan Panigrahi, Bijay Paikaray 
    Abstract: In the distributed sensor network, it is challenging to secure communication while simultaneously being aware of the intermittent failure situation of a sensor node during the connection. The existing methods rely on KNN with statistical methods and iterative to identify error-free communication for the random behaviour of the sensor node. This research developed a KNN-based method for predicting whether a transmission would be faulted or fault-free and the statistics of sensor received data over a specific time interval, time period, and amount of time measures and compares the distance statistics of the sensor node at a predetermined, specific tolerance level. Moreover, in the simulation study, the entire network is based on the sending and receiving data status in a distributed WSN for real-time measurement with 100% data accuracy, a lower FPR, and a 0% FAR. All the experimental results found the statistical distance from a problematic cluster node exceeds 30%.
    Keywords: distributed sensor network; fault diagnosis; statistical method; intermittent fault; KNN; wireless sensor networks; WSN; fuzzy set.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10061104
     
  • COVID-19 induced Supply Chain Disruptions and Economic Vulnerability of Vegetable and Fruit Farmers: A Sri Lankan Perspective   Order a copy of this article
    by Navodika Karunarathna, Dinesha Siriwardhane, P. G. S. Amila Jayarathne 
    Abstract: Despite the significance and vulnerability of the vegetable and fruit supply chains, little is known about the disruptions caused by COVID-19 and its implications on the farmers’ livelihood. Hence, the main objective of this study is to examine the impact of COVID-19-induced supply chain disruptions on the economic vulnerability of small-scale farmers. Surveying 280 farmers across eight high-crop districts, logistic regression analysis in SPSS was conducted. The findings revealed that most farmers continued to cultivate even amid the pandemic although they had to face several challenges. It is reasonable to conclude that the transportation and demand disruptions caused by the COVID-19 measures have aggravated the economic vulnerability of small-scale farmers more than the supply and production disruptions during the crisis period.
    Keywords: agriculture; COVID-19; economic vulnerability; supply chain disruptions; vegetable and fruit farmers; Sri Lanka.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10061175
     
  • The Effect of Financial Incentives for the Board of Directors on the Disclosure level of the Quantity and Coverage of Risks in Jordanian Industrial Companies   Order a copy of this article
    by Ashraf Bataineh, Ziyad Shwiyat 
    Abstract: This study aimed to assess the effect of financial incentives for board members on the disclosure level of both the quantity and coverage of risks within Jordanian industrial companies. To gather data for the study analysis variables spanning from 2019 to 2022, the financial reports of these companies were examined by using statistical analysis program SPSS. The findings indicate a positive correlation between financial incentives, specifically the ownership percentage of non-executive board members and their financial expertise, and the disclosure level of quantity risks within these companies. Furthermore, the results reveal a negative relationship between board member salaries and compensation, and disclosure level of both the quantity and coverage aspects of company risks. Conversely, the educational level of board members positively influenced the disclosure of risk coverage. Regulatory authorities are recommended to encourage companies to strengthen their adherence to corporate governance standards in regulating the disclosure level of company risks.
    Keywords: financial incentives; board of directors; disclosure; corporate risks; Jordanian industrial companies.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10062093
     
  • Risk Assessment of Iran Development Programs of Oil and Gas Fields (IDPOGF): Setting up the Top-Ten List of IDPOGF Risk Items   Order a copy of this article
    by Mohammad Ali Hatefi 
    Abstract: Iran oil and gas sector is one of the most important industries in this country. In upstream branch of this sector, Iran development programs of oil and gas fields (IDPOGF) include very costly and complex programs. Hence, the relevant project/program managers need to have a clear understanding of potential risk factors and risks as well as their impacts. In this study, under a general view to the IDPOGF, identification and analysis of the relevant risks are done. At the identification step, firstly through organising a focus group, risk categories are recognised, risks are identified, and a risk breakdown structure (RBS) is constructed. In the analysis step, firstly three probability and impact (PI) matrices are built, each one for one of the project constraints, i.e., cost-time-quality (CTQ), then risk scores and risk ranks are determined. Finally some registers of the IDPOGF entitled top-ten list of risk items are provided. Such lists could be useful for any future IDPOGF or similar/relative programs.
    Keywords: oil and gas; risk assessment; risk breakdown structure; RBS; top-ten risks; focus group.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10062803
     
  • Assessment of the Resilience of Safety Management Systems in the Algerian Construction Sector   Order a copy of this article
    by Youcef Oussama Fourar, Mebarek Djebabra, Leila Boubaker 
    Abstract: Traditional safety approaches (safety-I) promote the idea that safety arises from preventing adverse events. This is considered as insufficient to succeed in a complex and uncertain environment such as the construction sector. Therefore, the purpose is to assess SMSs capabilities within the framework of resilience engineering in the Algerian construction sector. For this, a cross-sectional exploratory study was conducted using the resilience assessment grid (RAG) questionnaire that assesses SMSs resilience in terms of four abilities (i.e., respond, monitor, learn and anticipate). The questionnaire was distributed to OHS professionals belonging to 31 construction companies operating on a national scale in Algeria. Findings showed that problematic resilience abilities for the Algerian construction sector were the ability to learn and to anticipate. Areas for improvement were highlighted such as the focus on collaborative planning, the implementation of decentralised monitoring mechanisms and operationalising of continuous improvement principles.
    Keywords: safety management system; SMS; resilience engineering; resilience assessment grid; RAG; construction.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJBCRM.2024.10062941