Title: GHG emissions from China's international sea freight transport: a review and the future trend

Authors: W.M. To; Peter K.C. Lee

Addresses: School of Business, Macao Polytechnic Institute, Rua de Luis Gonzaga Gomes, Macao SAR, China ' Department of Logistics and Maritime Studies, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China

Abstract: This paper reviews the development of China's international sea freight throughput during the period 1980-2015 and uses logistic model to estimate the future growth of international sea freight and the associated increase in the emission of greenhouse gases (GHG). The review showed that China's international sea freight throughput increased from 353.2 billion ton-km in 1980 to 5423.6 billion ton-km in 2015. Meanwhile China's international container throughput increased from 64.3 thousand 20-foot equivalent units (TEU) to 189 million TEU (over 27% of the world's container traffic flow) in 2015. The associated GHG emission increased from 2.60 million tons CO2-eq in 1980 to 39.95 million tons CO2-eq in 2015. Although the logistic growth model indicated that China's international sea freight and container throughputs reached maximum growth rates in 2008, GHG emissions due to China's international sea freight would continuously increase to over 53 million tons in 2020.

Keywords: sea freight; China; greenhouse gases emission; One Belt-One Road.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSTL.2018.093483

International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics, 2018 Vol.10 No.4, pp.455 - 467

Received: 09 Mar 2017
Accepted: 26 Nov 2017

Published online: 11 Jul 2018 *

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