Authors: Ferda Halicioglu, Mehmet Ugur
Addresses: Old Royal Naval College, University of Greenwich, Park Row, London SE10 9LS, UK. ' Old Royal Naval College, University of Greenwich, Park Row, London SE10 9LS, UK
Abstract: This paper empirically analyses the stability of the narrow money demand function (M1) in Turkey for the period 1950–2002. As part of the IMF sponsored stabilisation programme, Turkey has been pursuing base money targets. To ascertain whether this policy framework satisfies the necessary condition for effectiveness, we estimate and test for the stability of Turkish M1 by employing a recent single cointegration procedure proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001) along with the CUSUM and CUSUMSQ stability tests. We demonstrate that there is a stable money demand function and it could be used as an intermediate target of monetary policy in Turkey.
Keywords: cointegration; money demand; stability; Turkey; base money targets; monetary policy.
Global Business and Economics Review, 2005 Vol.7 No.2/3, pp.203 - 213
Available online: 20 Aug 2005 *Full-text access for editors Access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article