Title: Risk management technologies in structural complex systems

Authors: Eugene Solozhentsev; Vasily Karasev

Addresses: Intellectual Integrated Systems Laboratory of IPME RAS, V.O., Bolshoy pr., 61, 199178, Saint Petersburg, Russia ' IISAD Laboratory, IPME RAS, V.O., Bolshoy pr., 61, 199178, Saint Petersburg, Russia

Abstract: This paper contains main theses of the new fundamental scientific and applied research 'Risk Management technology in structural complex systems'. Requirements for models and techniques for risk management in structural complex systems are formulated. Components of risk management technologies are described. The dynamics of logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models are considered. We are proposing new kinds of events and LP risk models. The following techniques of risk management technologies are stated: LP risk analysis, operational and strategic LP risk management, synthesis and analysis of initiating events probabilities in LP risk models. In conclusion, theses about scientific novelty and practical applications of the results are stated.

Keywords: technology; risk management; structural complexity; complex systems; events; logical risk models; probabilistic risk models; probability; estimation; analysis; synthesis risk modelling; risk assessment; event probabilities.

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2015.071217

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 2015 Vol.18 No.3/4, pp.307 - 318

Received: 26 Apr 2014
Accepted: 03 Oct 2014

Published online: 17 Aug 2015 *

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