Title: China's technology foresight: aiming to 2006-2020

Authors: Zhongming Gong, Jiayu Cheng

Addresses: Chinese Academy of Science and Technology for Development, Ministry of Science and Technology, P.O. Box 3814, Beijing 100038, PR China. ' Chinese Academy of Science and Technology for Development, Ministry of Science and Technology, P.O. Box 3814, Beijing 100038, PR China

Abstract: China conducted a Delphi survey in six fields of information, biotechnology, new material, energy, environment and resources, and advanced manufacturing to help the constitution and the conduction of its national medium and long-term science and technological development plan. In the second round investigation, about 1000 selected experts from different domains sent feedback of their opinions on 483 technological topics. Indices were calculated to analyse the results of the investigation. Some aspects of China|s R&D level are analysed including the gap of R&D level between China and leading countries, the relationship between the gap of R&D level and important index, way for China|s R&D.

Keywords: technology foresight; China; R&D levels; interactive analysis; research and development; research and development; Delphi survey; information; biotechnology; new materials; energy; environment; resources; advanced manufacturing.

DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2010.032673

International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2010 Vol.6 No.1/2/3, pp.182 - 190

Published online: 11 Apr 2010 *

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