Title: How much wind-powered electricity may be generated in 2040 by China, USA and four other countries?

Authors: Yu Sang Chang; Hann Earl Kim; Seongmin Jeon; Yoo-Taek Lee

Addresses: Gachon Centre for Convergence Research, Gachon University, 1342 Seongnam-daero, Sujeong-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do 13120, South Korea ' Department of Global Business, College of Business, Gachon University, 1342 Seongnam-daero, Sujeong-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do 13120, South Korea ' Department of Global Business, College of Business, Gachon University, 1342 Seongnam-daero, Sujeong-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyeonggi-do 13120, South Korea ' Operations and Technology Management Department, Questrom School of Business, Boston University, 595 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USA

Abstract: Projections of long-term wind-powered electricity by the Energy Information Administration in the past may have been too conservative. We generate alternative projections for China, USA, India, Canada, Japan and South Korea, and compare them against the projections made by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the years 2020, 2030 and 2040. Although our projections are much higher than the EIA's for five of the countries, the exception being Japan, our projections are supported by several projections made by other organisations. Implications from our findings will be discussed.

Keywords: wind-powered electricity; experience curve; wind electricity intensity; China; USA.

DOI: 10.1504/IJETP.2020.105509

International Journal of Energy Technology and Policy, 2020 Vol.16 No.2, pp.196 - 212

Received: 07 Sep 2017
Accepted: 16 Jan 2018

Published online: 05 Feb 2020 *

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