Forthcoming Articles

International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics

International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics (IJSTL)

Forthcoming articles have been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication but are pending final changes, are not yet published and may not appear here in their final order of publication until they are assigned to issues. Therefore, the content conforms to our standards but the presentation (e.g. typesetting and proof-reading) is not necessarily up to the Inderscience standard. Additionally, titles, authors, abstracts and keywords may change before publication. Articles will not be published until the final proofs are validated by their authors.

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International Journal of Shipping and Transport Logistics (2 papers in press)

Regular Issues

  • Volatility spillover effects of crude oil futures on tanker freight rates: new evidence from a time-frequency perspective   Order a copy of this article
    by Hongyue Guo, Xinru Li, Wenjuan Jia, Bin Meng, Cong Sui 
    Abstract: In this study, we investigate the volatility spillover impact of oil prices on tanker freight rates, by calculating the monthly volatilities of eleven representative tanker freight indices, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Brent futures price indices to measure the oil and tanker shipping markets risk, respectively. In particular, the high-frequency component of the tanker freight rate volatility is disentangled by adopting the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method and Fine-to-coarse algorithm. Besides, the time-varying parameter vector autoregressive (TVP-VAR) model is employed to analyse the impact of crude oil futures prices on the high-frequency component of tanker freight rates at the volatility level. Our results reveal that crude oil price volatility affects tanker freight rate volatility on different routes to varying degrees, and crude oil price volatility has a positive spillover effect on tanker freight rate volatility on short-haul routes and small-sized ships located on routes.
    Keywords: crude oil future; tanker freight rates; high-frequency component; volatility; EEMD model.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJSTL.2025.10074001
     
  • Strategic development of regional transshipment hubs: leveraging econometric modelling and trade integration between foreland nations and production centres   Order a copy of this article
    by Rashika Mudunkotuwa, Mingjun Ji, Yapa Mahinda Bandara, T.S.G. Peiris 
    Abstract: This paper shows that transshipment ports can be key contributors to enhancing trade relations and strategic port partnerships between the host country and the connected markets. The paper develops a forecasting model based on international trade dynamics between foreland markets and the worlds major production centre, China, and validates with data sourced from the World Integrated Trade Solution and Chinas Trade Yearbook to determine the port throughput of a regional hub port (the Port of Colombo). The models validity is confirmed through rigorous statistical tests and the findings revealed the Port of Colombos long-term dependence on trade with foreland nations trading with China. The results support the need for the ports host country to adopt trade integration strategies for its sustained growth. The model significantly enhances the forecasting accuracy for transshipment hubs, offering valuable insights for policymakers and port authorities to promote sustainable growth through improved trade integration strategies.
    Keywords: transshipment hub; trade integration; foreland nations; production centre; granger causality; VECM.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJSTL.2026.10075487
     

 

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