Exploring optimal hedging strategy in Thai rice pledging scheme policy
by Thanasin Tanompongphandh; Nattapong Puttanapong; Preesan Rakwatin
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies (IJEPEE), Vol. 11, No. 3, 2018

Abstract: From 2011-2014, the Thai government pledged to buy Thai paddy rice above the market price in order to subsidise Thai rice farmers and push the world rice price higher. However, the volatility of the rice price casts uncertainty over how much the Thai Government fiscal budget will be liable for. Following optimal hedging technique and mean-variance framework, this paper explores a hedging strategy for the Thai Government to protect against risk of price fluctuation. Based on in-sample and out-of-sample testing, result shows that the volatility of the returns decreases after optimally hedged portfolio are created. The results are robust against different estimation methods, namely, OLS, rolling OLS, and MGARCH model.

Online publication date: Fri, 10-Aug-2018

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies (IJEPEE):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

    Username:        Password:         

Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com