Title: Interest rate effectiveness in era of quantitative easing in euro market

Authors: Martin Pažický

Addresses: Faculty of Management, Comenius University, Odbojárov 10, 820 05, Bratislava, Slovak Republic

Abstract: In this paper, an attempt is made to evaluate the relationship between interest rate and inflation. The attention is paid to determine the power of the interest rate in times of quantitative easing. The effectiveness of the interest rate is seriously compromised in the light of ultra-easy monetary policy adopted by the majority central banks around the globe. Our aim is to define the principles influencing the price level in the real economy of the euro area. Using the test for cointegration between interest rate and inflation, we have not found any evidence of long-run relationship between given variables. The vector-autoregressive model (VAR) indicates a certain level of inflation response to changes in the short-term interest rate, but the response is not sustainable. We applied various econometric techniques, such as ARMA, ADL, or VAR models, to illustrate the relationship between inflation and short-term interest rate.

Keywords: inflation; interest rate; central bank; monetary policy.

DOI: 10.1504/IJAF.2018.098341

International Journal of Accounting and Finance, 2018 Vol.8 No.4, pp.364 - 392

Received: 09 Dec 2017
Accepted: 26 Sep 2018

Published online: 14 Mar 2019 *

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