Title: A prediction interval approach to developing life test acceptance criteria for progressively censored data

Authors: Maram Salem; Zeinab Amin; Moshira Ismail

Addresses: Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt ' Department of Mathematics and Actuarial Science, The American University in Cairo, P. O. Box 74, New Cairo 11835, Egypt ' Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt

Abstract: In this paper we use the prediction-interval approach to construct acceptance criteria to determine whether or not certain batches of products are acceptable. The procedure is intended to protect both producers and consumers against highly defective lots and demonstrate that a required quality level is met with certain probability. The prediction interval approach is particularly useful to employ when the lifetime of the product represents the quality characteristic of interest. On the basis of a progressively censored sample from the Weibull lifetime distribution, the problem of constructing acceptance criteria by predicting a future lifetime based on an independent past sample of lifetimes from the same distribution is addressed in a Bayesian setting with a dependent bivariate prior. The Metropolis-within-Gibbs Sampler algorithm is used to obtain a sequence of draws from the posterior predictive distribution of future observations. This sequence is used to derive the prediction intervals based on which the lot acceptance criteria are determined. An example using real data is illustrated.

Keywords: acceptance criteria; Metropolis-within-Gibbs sampler algorithm; prediction interval; progressively censored sample; Weibull lifetime model.

DOI: 10.1504/IJRS.2018.094941

International Journal of Reliability and Safety, 2018 Vol.12 No.3, pp.279 - 291

Received: 26 Feb 2018
Accepted: 01 Jun 2018
Published online: 27 Sep 2018 *

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