Title: Prospective technology studies with a life cycle perspective

Authors: Birgitte Rasmussen, Mads Borup, Kristian Borch, Per Dannemand Andersen

Addresses: Systems Analysis Department, Riso National Laboratory, P.O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark. ' Systems Analysis Department, Riso National Laboratory, P.O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark. ' Systems Analysis Department, Riso National Laboratory, P.O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark. ' Systems Analysis Department, Riso National Laboratory, P.O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark

Abstract: This article describes how life cycle assessment and technology foresight can be brought together to establish a comprehensive and multi-dimensional framework for prospective strategic analysis within new technologies and products. In two research projects, the traditions of life cycle assessment and technology foresight have been put together to analyse how the life cycle approach can help define the content and concepts of a technological system and ensure a comprehensive study with a clear focus. One project focuses on the future development of wind turbine technology; the other addresses genetically modified crops. Both projects applied the life cycle approach as a tool for mapping and scanning of the technological domain. This was also a valuable tool for designation of experts and information sources. Technology foresight methods were used to elucidate drivers of changes, potentials, possibilities and barriers for future development.

Keywords: genetically modified crops; GM crops; life cycle assessment; technology mapping; technology foresight; wind power technology; wind energy; wind turbines; technology development; technology policy; Denmark.

DOI: 10.1504/IJTPM.2005.008405

International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, 2005 Vol.5 No.3, pp.227 - 239

Published online: 19 Dec 2005 *

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