Title: Conceptual description of integrated risk modelling problems for managerial decisions in complex organisational and technical systems

Authors: Boris Vladimirovich Sokolov; Rafael Midkhatovich Yusupov; Dmitry Aleksandrovich Ivanov

Addresses: Saint Petersburg Institute for Informatics and Automation of the RAS (SPIIRAS), 14 line V.O., 39, 199178, St. Petersburg, Russia; ITMO University (Saint Petersburg National Research University of Information Technologies, Mechanics and Optics), St. Petersburg, Russia ' Saint Petersburg Institute for Informatics and Automation of the RAS (SPIIRAS), 14 line V.O., 39, 199178, St. Petersburg, Russia ' Berlin School of Economics and Law, 10825, Berlin, Germany

Abstract: Different approaches to determine and formalise uncertainty and risk factors are studied. The concept of risk integrated modelling and the corresponding structure of decision selection are described. This concept is based on structural/mathematical and functor categorical description.

Keywords: uncertainty; risk factors; integrated modelling; decision support systems; DSS; complex systems; risk modelling; decision making; risk management.

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2015.071216

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 2015 Vol.18 No.3/4, pp.288 - 306

Received: 06 May 2014
Accepted: 21 Oct 2014

Published online: 17 Aug 2015 *

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