Title: Panel Granger causality between oil consumption and GDP: evidence from BRICS countries

Authors: T. Chang; O.A. Gadinabokao; R. Gupta; R. Inglesi-Lotz; P. Kanniah; B.D. Simo-Kengne

Addresses: University of Feng Chia, No. 100, Wenhwa Rd., Seatwen, Taichung, 40724, Taiwan ' University of Pretoria, Tukkiewerf Building, Main Campus, Hatfield, Pretoria, 0002, South Africa ' University of Pretoria, Tukkiewerf Building, Main Campus, Hatfield, Pretoria, 0002, South Africa ' University of Pretoria, Tukkiewerf Building, Main Campus, Hatfield, Pretoria, 0002, South Africa ' University of Pretoria, Tukkiewerf Building, Main Campus, Hatfield, Pretoria, 0002, South Africa ' Faculty of Economic and Financial Sciences, University of Johannesburg, P.O. Box 524, Auckland Park, 2006, South Africa

Abstract: This paper examines the causal relationship between oil consumption and economic growth in the BRICS countries for the period from 1985 to 2011. We employ a panel causality approach which accounts for both cross-sectional dependency and heterogeneity across countries. The empirical results support the view that oil consumption and economic growth are not sensitive to each other for the panel of BRICS countries. Looking at the individual country results, there is only some evidence for China of a bidirectional causality. The lack of sensitivity between oil consumption and GDP for the BRICS countries indicates that policies aiming at reducing the use of crude oil will have minor to no effect on the economic growth and development of the BRICS countries.

Keywords: economic growth; dependency; heterogeneity; oil consumption; BRICS countries; panel causality test; crude oil.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSE.2015.066405

International Journal of Sustainable Economy, 2015 Vol.7 No.1, pp.30 - 41

Received: 03 May 2014
Accepted: 20 Aug 2014
Published online: 18 Dec 2014 *

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