Title: Fuzzy logic approach for international peace and sustainable development: Euphrates-Tigris river basin case

Authors: Zekai Şen

Addresses: Civil Engineering Faculty, Hydraulics and Water Resources Department, Istanbul Technical University, Maslak 34469, Istanbul, Turkey

Abstract: The purpose of this work is to establish and show a simple logical model in the linguistically uncertain domain of peace and strategic development concepts, which have fuzzy variation domains. Due to uncertainties it is necessary to exploit human ability to make rational decisions with soft computing tolerance. Soft computing is oriented towards fuzzy logic (FL) modelling, which addresses imprecision and approximate reasoning. Simple and convenient FL modelling software is proposed for the conflict scenarios based on three factors as state interest in water resources and riparian position in addition to internal and external power availabilities among the riparians. All these factors provide answers in an FL manner concerning the national and international consequences of the population, technology and natural resources within the national demands, limitations, aspirations, capabilities, pressures and needs. The application of the fuzzy methodology for peace and sustainability is presented for the Euphrates-Tigris river basin.

Keywords: fuzzy logic; modelling; international peace; sustainable development; sustainability; strategy; Euphrates; Tigris; strategic development; conflict scenarios; state interest; water resources; riparian zones; population; technology; natural resources.

DOI: 10.1504/IJISE.2013.056675

International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, 2013 Vol.15 No.3, pp.238 - 252

Available online: 29 Aug 2013 *

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