Title: The Central Bank's endogenous and non-linear credibility in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model: theory and a small computational simulation

Authors: Ricardo Ramalhete Moreira

Addresses: Department of Economics, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo, Vitória-ES, 29075-910, Brazil

Abstract: A recent literature has analysed the Central Bank's credibility nature and determinants. In general, a Central Bank with higher credibility can implement a more efficient monetary policy, which is expressed through lower social costs in terms of volatility of relevant variables, such as output and inflation. This work aims at presenting some important features of that literature by proposing a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model in which the monetary policy's credibility has endogenous and non-linear dynamics and its degree is important in determining the economic system performance. These elements are illustrated by a small computational experiment.

Keywords: Central Bank credibility; inflation targets; endogenous dynamics; nonlinear dynamics; dynamic modelling; stochastic modelling; general equilibrium model; simulation; monetary policy.

DOI: 10.1504/IJCEE.2013.056263

International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, 2013 Vol.3 No.1/2, pp.2 - 13

Received: 16 Jan 2013
Accepted: 16 Apr 2013

Published online: 05 Sep 2013 *

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