Title: Using evidential synthetic evaluation model to evaluate the performance of RMB PE funds

Authors: Xinsheng Duan

Addresses: School of Accounting, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing, 100070 China

Abstract: This paper applies Dempster–Shafer evidence theory to probe the synthetic evaluation issues, gets the Evidential Synthetic Evaluation (ESE) model and then uses ESE model to solve the performance evaluation problem of RMB PE funds. First, an index system to measure the performance of RMB PE funds has been built. The index weighting has been determined using Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method. And then ESE model has been discussed and developed in the paper. For the examined six RMB PE funds, we invite three experts to give the evaluation scores and then using the ESE model to get the comprehensive score for each fund. Based on the comprehensive scores, a sort of six funds has been made. The model developed in this paper has the characteristics such as evidence collection way is more suitable for the human habit, the evidence received from different way can be combined and therefore the evaluation process can be extended if necessary. Finally, the model can deal with the incomplete and uncertain information.

Keywords: ESE; evidential synthetic evaluation; RMB PE funds; MATLAB; evidence theory; performance evaluation; analytical hierarchy process; AHP; incomplete information; uncertain information; private equity; renminbi.

DOI: 10.1504/IJWMC.2011.044107

International Journal of Wireless and Mobile Computing, 2011 Vol.5 No.1, pp.60 - 69

Available online: 09 Dec 2011 *

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