Title: Foresight of technological determinants and primary energy resources of future economic long waves
Authors: Mario Coccia
Addresses: CNR – National Research Council of Italy, CERIS-CNR, Via Real Collegio, No. 30, 10024 Moncalieri, Torino, Italy
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to conjecture the possible technological determinants underpinning future economic long waves. The foresight is based on prominent forecasting studies of scholars and a leading British company. This research assumes that converging nano-bio-info-cogno technologies are the foundation of 5th and 6th Kondratieff waves, whereas the future technological revolution that may underpin the 7th economic long wave is assumed to be Faster-Than-Light (FTL) Technologies. The positive effects of these next technological revolutions on worldwide economic system are a high increase in productivity, employment rate, consumption and economic growth that lead to longer, happier and healthier living as well as general well-being.
Keywords: economic long waves; technological revolution; foresight; technological determinants; primary energy resources; forecasting; faster-than-light; FTL technologies.
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2010 Vol.6 No.4, pp.225 - 232
Received: 05 Oct 2009
Accepted: 16 Feb 2010
Published online: 14 Dec 2010 *