Title: National technology foresight research: a literature review from 1984 to 2005

Authors: Benjamin J.C. Yuan, Chih-Hung Hsieh, Chien-Ching Chang

Addresses: Institute of Management of Technology, National Chiao Tung University, 7F, Assembly Building 1, No.1001, Ta-Hsueh Road, Hsinchu, 300 Taiwan, ROC. ' Institute of Management of Technology, National Chiao Tung University, 7F, Assembly Building 1, No.1001, Ta-Hsueh Road, Hsinchu, 300 Taiwan, ROC; Institutes of Management, Yuan Tze University, 60806, Building 6, 135, Yuan-Tung Road, Chungli City, Tauyuan, 32003 Taiwan, ROC. ' Institute of Management of Technology, National Chiao Tung University, 7F, Assembly Building 1, No.1001, Ta-Hsueh Road, Hsinchu, 300 Taiwan, ROC

Abstract: This research is to categorise and analyse the academic publications and understand the contents of foresight, the empirical cases of foresight, the benefits of foresight, the foresight methodology, the risk and implementation framework of foresight to answer the pressing concerns for Taiwan|s foresight projects by the overview and organisation of journal paper on national foresight. This research applies the SDOS search engine of Inderscience and Elsevier to screen 494 relate papers published from 1984 to 2005 in which 117 key papers were selected. By doing this, three distinct periods, four trends and six implications for Taiwan of national technology foresight are identified.

Keywords: national technology foresight; definition; overview; empirical cases; benefits; methodology; risk; implementation framework; Taiwan; literature review.

DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2010.032663

International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2010 Vol.6 No.1/2/3, pp.5 - 35

Published online: 11 Apr 2010 *

Full-text access for editors Access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article