Title: China's emergence and changing global trade patterns in high-tech electronics: Is there a China-effect?

Authors: Klimis Vogiatzoglou

Addresses: Centre for Planning and Economic Research, Division of International Economics, 11, Amerikis str., 10672 Athens, Greece

Abstract: The paper examines the patterns and trends in global export performance in high-tech electronics (ICT goods) for 29 countries, including China, over the period 2000–2007. The aim is to detect any significant changes in global trade and specialisation patterns due to China|s emergence. Additionally, the impact of China|s ICT export expansion on the other countries| export performance is investigated econometrically with a panel-data model. Our empirical analysis on the likely negative China-effects indicates that such effects are present and statistically significant. However, those effects have a rather weak quantitative impact on the other countries| export specialisation in ICT goods.

Keywords: global trade; export performance; China; ICT; information technology; communications technology; specialisation patterns; econometrics; panel-data; global markets; high-tech electronics.

DOI: 10.1504/IJTGM.2010.031251

International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 2010 Vol.3 No.2, pp.133 - 153

Published online: 27 Jan 2010 *

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