Title: Bank efficiency and share prices in China: empirical evidence from a three-stage banking model

Authors: Fadzlan Sufian, Muhamed Zulkhibri Abdul Majid

Addresses: Khazanah Research and Investment Strategy, Khazanah Nasional Berhad, Level 35, Tower 2, Petronas Twin Towers, Kuala Lumpur City Centre, 50088 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Malaysia. ' Monetary and Financial Policy Department, Central Bank of Malaysia, Jalan Dato' Onn, 50480 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Abstract: This paper examines the relationship between the efficiency of China banks and its share price performance. Our analysis consists of three parts. First, we calculate the annual share price returns of the banks for each year between 1997 and 2006. Then we employ the data envelopment analysis (DEA) window analysis method to estimate the efficiency of each bank. Finally, we regress the annual share price returns on the change in efficiency, while controlling for other bank specific traits. The empirical findings suggest that large Chinese banks have exhibited higher technical and pure technical efficiency levels compared to their small and medium sized bank counterparts, while the medium sized banks have exhibited higher scale efficiency. The relationship between Chinese banks| efficiency and share price performance suggest that bank efficiency estimates derived from the DEA window analysis method contributes significant information towards share price returns beyond that provided by financial information.

Keywords: bank efficiency; share prices; data envelopment analysis; DEA window analysis; China; banking models.

DOI: 10.1504/IJCEE.2009.029151

International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, 2009 Vol.1 No.1, pp.23 - 47

Published online: 06 Nov 2009 *

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