Title: Building a static farm level spatial microsimulation model for rural development and agricultural policy analysis in Ireland

Authors: Stephen Hynes, Karyn Morrissey, Cathal O'Donoghue, Graham Clarke

Addresses: Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Galway, University Road, Galway, Ireland. ' Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Galway, University Road, Galway, Ireland. ' Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Galway, University Road, Galway, Ireland. ' Department of Economics, National University of Ireland, Galway, University Road, Galway, Ireland

Abstract: Using statistical matching techniques, economists can now create attribute rich datasets by matching across the common variables in two or more datasets. The farm level spatial microsimulation model developed in this paper uses one of many combinational optimisation techniques – simulated annealing – to match the Irish Census of Agriculture to the 2005 Irish National Farm Survey (NFS). Using the new spatially disaggregated farm population microdata this paper then briefly analyses the impact of future Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) reform on the distribution of family farm income in rural Ireland.

Keywords: static farm level; spatial microsimulation model; simulated annealing; Census of Agriculture; National Farm Survey; NFS; family farm income; Ireland; statistical matching; farm population; rural areas; Common Agricultural Policy; CAP reform; simulation; modelling.

DOI: 10.1504/IJARGE.2009.026230

International Journal of Agricultural Resources, Governance and Ecology, 2009 Vol.8 No.2/3/4, pp.282 - 299

Published online: 29 May 2009 *

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