Title: Scenario analysis using embedded technology roadmap for a digital video system platform for family use development

Authors: Tser-yieth Chen

Addresses: Graduate Institute of International Business, National Taipei University, No. 151, University Road, Sanhsia, Taipei County, 23701, Taiwan, ROC

Abstract: This study proposes a scenario analysis with technology roadmap embedded in a digital video system platform for family use in Taiwan. The analytical process involves eight steps: 1 identifying the target product and its function items; 2 mapping the technology matrix to the product; 3 identifying the technological gap in relation to required technology level; 4 recognising key decision factors; 5 selecting the axis of uncertainty; 6 specifying and polishing scenarios; 7 completing technology roadmap development; 8 investigating the implications of decisions. Three targeted scenarios are developed and seven selected technological attributes are selected to complete the technology roadmap.

Keywords: scenario analysis; technology roadmap; scenario robustness analysis; technology forecasting; digital video system platform; embedded systems; family use; Taiwan.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSTM.2009.024568

International Journal of Services Technology and Management, 2009 Vol.11 No.4, pp.374 - 389

Available online: 10 Apr 2009 *

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