Title: A dynamic city-level carbon emission allocation distribution analysis under the constraint of diverse provincial carbon neutral trajectory

Authors: Wei Li; Hao Jiang; Can Lu

Addresses: School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, No. 689 Hua Dian Road, Baoding, Hebei 071003, China ' School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, No. 689 Hua Dian Road, Baoding, Hebei 071003, China ' School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, No. 689 Hua Dian Road, Baoding, Hebei 071003, China

Abstract: This paper aims to explore the carbon emission allocation scheme in Hebei Province under the net-zero emission pathway. Initially, the STIRPAT and PSO-BP models are employed to forecast the carbon emissions and sequestration in Hebei Province across nine scenarios. Subsequently, this study utilises the entropy weight method and the ZSG-DEA model to allocate annual carbon emissions in Hebei Province under the carbon-neutral scenario among the 11 cities within its jurisdiction. Finally, based on the distribution results, this study identifies the directions and quantities of future carbon emissions adjustments required in these cities.

Keywords: carbon neutral in Hebei Province; carbon emission allocation scheme; carbon emission reduction space.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGW.2024.141399

International Journal of Global Warming, 2024 Vol.34 No.1, pp.19 - 36

Received: 13 Jan 2024
Accepted: 29 Apr 2024
Published online: 11 Sep 2024 *

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