Title: Influence of private consumption and public spending on economic growth in Peru

Authors: Rosario Huerta-Soto; Carlos Fernandez-Lopez; Hober Huaranga-Toledo; Miguel Silva-Zapata; Julio Valera-Aredo

Addresses: Graduate School, Universidad Cesar Vallejo, Av. Victor Larco 1770, Lima, Peru ' Economics Department, Universidad Nacional Santiago Antunez de Mayolo, Av. Centenario No. 200, Huaraz, Peru ' Administration Department, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Av. Carlos Germán Amezaga #375, Lima, Peru ' Science Department, Universidad Nacional Santiago Antúnez de Mayolo, Av. Centenario No. 200, Huaraz, Peru ' Administration Department, Universidad Señor de Sipán, Km 5 Carretera a Pimentel, Chiclayo, Peru

Abstract: This article examines the sources of economic growth in Peru from 2007 to 2018, integrating the analysis of private consumption and public spending, then analysing the macroeconomic adjustment and structural change that has characterised the Peruvian economy in the stage of economic openness. The study's main goal was to identify the factors contributing to home-level poverty in Peru during a specific period. The data sources matched the institute's survey, which obtained and managed bad variables. Semi-studies and a quantitative methodology made the descriptive research informative and statistically significant. The macroeconomic theory presents debt's pros and cons on output. A theory that fiscal expansion raises debt but boosts consumer spending and job growth supports beneficial outcomes. How positive the multiplier effect depends on its strength? It also examines endogenous economic growth models with public institutions and those for the Peruvian economy; then, the model is estimated using contemporary structural econometrics. The research's findings indicate that public investment, particularly in infrastructure and the rule of law, has not had a favourable impact on Peru's economic growth in recent years.

Keywords: economic growth; private consumption; public spending; Ramsey test; macroeconomic theory; rule of law; labour productivity; human capital; Peru.

DOI: 10.1504/IJEF.2024.137631

International Journal of Electronic Finance, 2024 Vol.13 No.2, pp.256 - 273

Received: 07 Jan 2023
Accepted: 21 Feb 2023

Published online: 02 Apr 2024 *

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