Title: Cointegration of 'MIBOR' with rupee-dollar and rupee-yen exchange rates: estimating volatility spill-overs and asymmetry

Authors: Upendra Nath Shukla; Neelam Tandon; Deepak Tandon; Hemendra Gupta

Addresses: Amity Business School, Amity University, Uttar Pradesh, India ' Jagannath International Management School, Kalkaji, New Delhi-110019, India ' International Management Institute, Qutab Institutional Area, Tara Crescent, New Delhi – 110016, India ' Jaipuria Institute of Management, Hahnemann Road, Vineet Khand, Gomti Nagar, Uttar Pradesh 226010, Lucknow, India

Abstract: Mumbai Interbank Offer Rate (MIBOR) plays a significant role in the Indian interbank market and its role would be more imperative in India as LIBOR is expected to be ceased by 2021. This paper has a purpose to understand the movement and volatility of MIBOR by exploring any cointegration of MIBOR with exchange rates of major currencies like - US dollar, Japanese yen, euro and pound sterling, to derive a model gauging volatility spill-overs and asymmetry of MIBOR. Based on the daily data from 01.01.19 to 21.01.21 VECM and E-Garch model is applied. MIBOR is found to be cointegrated with exchange rates of dollar and yen with error correction being done by the rupee-yen exchange rates. Volatility spill-overs were significant with previous error lag with no asymmetry due to any negative news. Findings have great implications to manage interest rates and liquidity in Indian interbank and money markets.

Keywords: MIBOR; cointegration; exchange rates; interest rates; volatility; symmetry; money market; capital market; India.

DOI: 10.1504/AAJFA.2022.127942

Afro-Asian Journal of Finance and Accounting, 2022 Vol.12 No.6, pp.691 - 711

Received: 16 Feb 2021
Accepted: 27 Dec 2021
Published online: 22 Dec 2022 *

Full-text access for editors Full-text access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article