Title: An adaptive prediction model for sparse data forecasting

Authors: Xuan Yao

Addresses: School of Computer and Software, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210044, China

Abstract: Sparse data generated by the limitations of data acquisition are ubiquitous for prediction. However, the general prediction model is challenging to deal with those sparse data. Therefore, this paper aims to propose an adaptive sparse data prediction model. Firstly, we introduced the aXreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm to build an adaptive prediction model to correct sparse data constantly. Secondly, the sparsity perception of the XGBoost algorithm is used for parallel tree learning. Finally, we applied the model to the PM2.5 concentration forecasting of Nanjing, China. We trained the model and adjusted the parameters to get better prediction results, and compared the prediction results with actual data to prove the feasibility of the model.

Keywords: adaptive prediction model; sparse data; XGBoost algorithm; PM_2.5 concentration; forecasting.

DOI: 10.1504/IJAACS.2022.127409

International Journal of Autonomous and Adaptive Communications Systems, 2022 Vol.15 No.4, pp.331 - 344

Received: 04 May 2020
Accepted: 03 Jul 2020
Published online: 05 Dec 2022 *

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