Title: An alternative approach to technology policy assessment: dynamic simulation analysis of Taiwan's IC industry

Authors: Ting Lin Lee

Addresses: Department of Asia Pacific, Industrial and Business Management, National University of Kaohsiung, 700 Kaohsiung University Road, Kaohsiung, 811, Taiwan

Abstract: To investigate the progress of the IC industry and its determinants, the present research adopts a multidisciplinary approach, by combining questionnaire/in-depth interviews with System Dynamics simulation based on ten-year (1990–1999) primary and secondary material. In comparing the respective results, one objective is to increase our insight into the dynamics of National Innovation Systems (NIS) by means of computer modelling; another objective is to create scenarios to verify the behaviour of the institutions under investigation by simulation, and to assess possible outcomes in those varying scenarios. This research therefore centres on developing a mathematical model of Taiwan|s NIS, particularly with regard to its IC industry. The paper concludes with some simulations of policy alternatives confronting the industry and the Taiwanese government.

Keywords: national innovation systems; NIS; integrated circuits; IC industry; system dynamics; SD; vertically disintegrated; technology policy assessment; assessment; Taiwan; modelling; policy alternatives; semiconductor industry.

DOI: 10.1504/IJTPM.2006.010907

International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, 2006 Vol.6 No.2, pp.121 - 153

Published online: 16 Sep 2006 *

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