Title: How can data mining help us to predict the influence of climate change on Mediterranean agriculture?

Authors: Maroi Tsouli Fathi; Mostafa Ezziyyani

Addresses: Computer Sciences Department, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, Tangier, Morocco ' Computer Sciences Department, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, Tangier, Morocco

Abstract: The proposed works are part of the Moroccan national project 'Green Morocco', which aims to develop the agricultural sector to prevent famine and support the economic development of the country. The objective is to propose a new method for yield estimation, crop forecasts and pre-harvest yields. This new methodology developed for introducing unsupervised learning and data mining algorithms. The method used, predicting yields using agro-climatic data analysis and climate change predictions. Our approach based on three models: first, we propose to use climate change-based climate predictions for climate classification in a given region and analysed the changes that have affected this climate. Second, using climate rules, we will look for climatic rules for each crop. Thirdly, to put in place a predictive model that will later enable climate change adaptation solutions for the future. Finally, we are also introducing a new dimensional reduction of features.

Keywords: Morocco; agriculture; climate change; Green Morocco; data mining algorithm; data analysis; temperature and rainfall.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSAMI.2019.101680

International Journal of Sustainable Agricultural Management and Informatics, 2019 Vol.5 No.2/3, pp.168 - 180

Received: 15 Oct 2018
Accepted: 25 Apr 2019
Published online: 20 Aug 2019 *

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