Open Access Article

Title: Research on the analysis of influencing factors and optimal control of cigarette ventilation rate stability based on machine learning

Authors: Rongya Zhang; Minchang Liu; Ruifang Gu; Yaping Ma; Tingjie Bao; Ziqi Liu; Peng Kuang; Wenbin Feng; Jiaxi Ni; Lingying He; Bin Yang; Chao Yang; Wu Wen

Addresses: Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Shifang Cigarette Factory, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., No. 158, South Section of Yinghuashan Road, Shifang City, Sichuan Province 618400, China ' Shifang Cigarette Factory, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., No. 158, South Section of Yinghuashan Road, Shifang City, Sichuan Province 618400, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China ' Shifang Cigarette Factory, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., No. 158, South Section of Yinghuashan Road, Shifang City, Sichuan Province 618400, China ' Shifang Cigarette Factory, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., No. 158, South Section of Yinghuashan Road, Shifang City, Sichuan Province 618400, China ' Technical Center, China Tobacco Sichuan Industrial Co., Ltd., Second Section of Chenglong Avenue, Longquanyi District, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province 610100, China

Abstract: The total ventilation rate of cigarettes is an important physical parameter of cigarette products. The stability of the ventilation rate has a significant impact on the sensory quality of cigarettes and the stability of mainstream smoke. This study takes a medium-sized cigarette brand as the research object and constructs a prediction model for the total ventilation rate of cigarettes using the XGBoost algorithm. The interpretation and analysis of the model using the SHAP method indicate that, without changing the quality indicators of cigarettes, the stability of the ventilation rate can be improved by adjusting the actual length of the ventilation band of the mouthpiece paper, the starting position of the ventilation band of the mouthpiece paper, and the set value of the compaction end position. These adjustments can enhance the control level of the stability of the ventilation rate of cigarettes and guide the management and operational practices of ventilation rate indicators in the production workshops.

Keywords: XGBoost; SHAP value; total ventilation rate; process quality.

DOI: 10.1504/IJICT.2026.155638

International Journal of Information and Communication Technology, 2026 Vol.27 No.87, pp.1 - 20

Received: 06 Jan 2026
Accepted: 20 Mar 2026

Published online: 07 Aug 2026 *