Title: The impact of tariffs on the Mexican agroindustry: a conceptual analysis amidst the uncertain USA trade policy

Authors: Francisco Preciado Álvarez; Fabian Ojeda Pérez

Addresses: Universidad de Colima, 3133229403, Tecomán, Colima, México ' Universidad de Colima, 3133229403, Tecomán, Colima, México

Abstract: This study analyses the impact of USA tariff policy on the Mexican agroindustry from a theoretical and conceptual perspective. A qualitative methodology was employed, based on a literature review and prospective scenario analysis using international trade models. The research follows an exploratory and documentary design, evaluating the sector's competitiveness, investment, and stability under different tariff regimes. The results indicate that trade uncertainty discourages investment and affects employment in rural regions. Three scenarios were identified: trade liberalisation, extreme protectionism, and permanent uncertainty. As a limitation, the study lacks recent empirical data, highlighting the need for future research. It is concluded that market diversification and trade stability are key to mitigating the negative effects of tariff barriers.

Keywords: tariff policy; international trade; agroindustry; protectionism; trade uncertainty.

DOI: 10.1504/IJTPM.2026.154795

International Journal of Technology, Policy and Management, 2026 Vol.26 No.2, pp.219 - 234

Received: 07 Apr 2025
Accepted: 05 Sep 2025
Published online: 14 Jul 2026 *

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