Title: Evaluation of ecotourism environmental carrying capacity in nature reserves based on improved Bayesian network

Authors: Yukai Hu

Addresses: School of Tourism and Hotel Management, University of Sanya, Sanya, 572022, China

Abstract: To address the discrepancies between the assessment outcomes and the true evaluation outcomes, long time-consuming and low satisfaction rate of the traditional evaluation methods, an evaluation method of ecotourism environmental carrying capacity in nature reserves based on improved Bayesian network was proposed. Taking the coastal wetland nature reserve as the research object, this paper analyses the impact factors of ecotourism environmental carrying capacity, and establishes the evaluation index system. The evaluation model of ecotourism environmental carrying capacity based on an improved Bayesian network is established, and then the evaluation index data is added into the model to obtain the evaluation results of ecotourism environmental carrying capacity. The experimental results show that the evaluation results of the proposed method are consistent with the actual evaluation results, the maximum time is 5.3 min, and the satisfaction rate of bearing capacity evaluation results is 94%.

Keywords: Bayesian network; nature reserves; ecotourism environment; carrying capacity.

DOI: 10.1504/IJETM.2025.148987

International Journal of Environmental Technology and Management, 2025 Vol.28 No.4/5/6, pp.367 - 385

Received: 23 Aug 2024
Accepted: 10 Feb 2025
Published online: 07 Oct 2025 *

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