Int. J. of Risk Assessment and Management   »   2018 Vol.21, No.1/2

 

 

Title: Hybrid logical and probabilistic models for management of socioeconomic safety

 

Authors: Vasily Karasev; Eugene Solozhentsev

 

Addresses:
Intellectual Integrated Systems Laboratory, IPME RAS, Saint-Petersburg, V.O., Bolshoy pr., 61, 199178, Russia
Intellectual Integrated Systems Laboratory, IPME RAS, Saint-Petersburg, V.O., Bolshoy pr., 61, 199178, Russia

 

Abstract: Hybrid logical and probabilistic (LP) models and software based on 'top-economics' are presented. Hybrid LP risk models contain the following subjects in problem decisions: government, legislative authorities, businesses, scientists, public opinion and objects (tasks), which are the sense of the problem. Statements of 'top-economics', its features and advantages are stated. The concept 'invalidity' in economics is discussed by analogy with reliability and safety in engineering. New Boolean events-propositions and new LP risk models for economic safety management are described.

 

Keywords: hybrid risk LP model; socio-economic problems; corruption; drug addiction; innovation system; top-economics; invalidity.

 

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2018.10011309

 

Int. J. of Risk Assessment and Management, 2018 Vol.21, No.1/2, pp.89 - 110

 

Available online: 06 Mar 2018

 

 

Editors Full text accessAccess for SubscribersPurchase this articleComment on this article