Title: Mathematics for management of socio-economic system safety
Author: Ekaterina Karaseva
Address: Institute of Business Technologies, Department of Information Technologies in Business, Saint-Petersburg State University of Aerospace Instrumentation, Saint-Petersburg, ul. Bolshaya Morskaya, 67, 190000, Russia
Abstract: In this paper we are considering that mathematics is useful for economists to manage the safety of socio-economic systems. Logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models, new mathematics, complex calculations and specialised software are considered. The concepts of invalidity in economics and top-economics are presented. New Boolean events-propositions and LP risk models are described. Techniques of synthesis of casual event probability by one or several experts are stated. Specialised softwares Arbiter and Expa are described.
Keywords: risk; economics; management; safety; logics; probability; socio-economic system; SES; invalidity; estimation; analysis; model.
Int. J. of Risk Assessment and Management, 2018 Vol.21, No.1/2, pp.50 - 64
Available online: 26 Feb 2018