Title: Mathematics for management of socio-economic system safety

Authors: Ekaterina Karaseva

Addresses: Institute of Business Technologies, Department of Information Technologies in Business, Saint-Petersburg State University of Aerospace Instrumentation, Saint-Petersburg, ul. Bolshaya Morskaya, 67, 190000, Russia

Abstract: In this paper we are considering that mathematics is useful for economists to manage the safety of socio-economic systems. Logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models, new mathematics, complex calculations and specialised software are considered. The concepts of invalidity in economics and top-economics are presented. New Boolean events-propositions and LP risk models are described. Techniques of synthesis of casual event probability by one or several experts are stated. Specialised softwares Arbiter and Expa are described.

Keywords: risk; economics; management; safety; logics; probability; socio-economic system; SES; invalidity; estimation; analysis; model.

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2018.090254

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 2018 Vol.21 No.1/2, pp.50 - 64

Received: 20 Jun 2016
Accepted: 12 Dec 2016
Published online: 07 Mar 2018 *

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