Title: Incorporating uncertainty into adaptive, transboundary water challenges: a conceptual design for the Okavango River basin

 

Author: Gregory A. Kiker, Rafael Munoz-Carpena, Piotr Wolski, Anna Cathey, Andrea Gaughan, Jongbum Kim

 

Addresses:
Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Harry Oppenheimer Okavango Research Centre, University of Botswana, Maun, Botswana.
Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Department of Geography, Land Use and Environmental Change Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, US Army Corps of Engineers – Engineering Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS 39180, USA

 

Journal: Int. J. of Risk Assessment and Management, 2008 Vol.10, No.4, pp.312 - 338

 

Abstract: In this paper, we present a review and conceptual design to integrate hydrological/ecological models, global uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, integrative modelling and decision analysis for complex and adaptive transboundary challenges. The research uses the transboundary issues within the Okavango River basin, a shared water resource among the nations of Angola, Namibia and Botswana, as an example for constructing these integrated tools. The objective of this paper is to present a design that integrates a set of tools that builds systematically on past basin modelling research to incorporate the inherent uncertainty within the system and its application for answering practical management questions.

 

Keywords: Okavango River basin; uncertainty analysis; AM; adaptive management; global sensitivity analysis; QnD model; decision analysis; hydrological modelling; ecological modelling; Angola; Namibia; Botswana; river basin modelling; transboundary water resources; risk assessment.

 

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2008.022130

10.1504/08.22130

 

 

Purchase this articleComment on this article