Agent-based modelling of energy infrastructure transitions
by E.J.L. Chappin, G.P.J. Dijkema
International Journal of Critical Infrastructures (IJCIS), Vol. 6, No. 2, 2010

Abstract: Shaping energy transitions not only requires technical system innovation and redesign but also new policies, regulations, Research and Development (R&D) and investment strategies – a transition assemblage. Transition management thus equates to designing and implementing such an assemblage. Agent-Based Models (ABMs) may be used for ex-ante assessment of transition assemblage alternatives. To help determine whether the design of a particular model is fit for its purpose, we have developed a typology. Three models were assessed: 1) a model on the impact of CO₂ policy on the power production sector; 2) a model on the transition of the global Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) infrastructure; 3) a model on the imminent transition caused by the arrival of Light-Emitting Diode (LED) lighting systems. All three models can be used to compare transition assemblage alternatives and could be adapted to assess regulatory adaptability.

Online publication date: Wed, 20-Jan-2010

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