Fibonacci retracement pattern recognition for forecasting foreign exchange market
by Mohd Fauzi Ramli; Ahmad Kadri Junoh; Mahyun Ab Wahab; Wan Zuki Azman Wan Muhamad
International Journal of Business Intelligence and Data Mining (IJBIDM), Vol. 17, No. 2, 2020

Abstract: Fibonacci retracement implicates a forecast of future movements in foreign exchange rates (forex) of the previous movement inductive analysis. Fibonacci ratios are used to forecast the retracements level of 0.382, 0.500 and 0.618 and to determine the current trend which provide the mathematical foundation for the Elliott wave theory. K-nearest neighbour (KNN) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA) algorithm are the pattern recognition method for nonlinear feature mining of Elliott wave patterns. Results show that LDA is better than KNN in terms of classification accuracy data which are 99.43%. Among of three levels of Fibonacci retracement results, the 38.2% shows the best forecasting for Great Britain Pound pair to US Dollar currency as major pair by using mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) and pearson correlation coefficient (r) as the statistical measurements which are 0.001884, 0.000019 and 0.992253 for uptrend and 0.001685, 0.000019 and 0.998806 for downtrend.

Online publication date: Mon, 03-Aug-2020

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Business Intelligence and Data Mining (IJBIDM):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

Username:        Password:          Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com