Title: Holistic methodology for stochastic mission utility analysis

Authors: Ja'Mar A. Watson

Addresses: Watson Institute for Scientific Engineering Research, 4201 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 110-444, Arlington, VA 22203, USA

Abstract: Preliminary analysis and design of a mission has profound effects on its lifecycle; yet, mission engineering is a discipline without unanimous definition and implementation. Current mission design philosophies are inadequate due to disaggregated design methods, incomplete mission phasespaces, exclusion of constitutive relations, curtailed tradespace exploration and unsubstantiated concept solutions. Presented is a new methodology for simultaneously developing, exploring and assessing statistically validated concepts of prospective missions. Stochastic modelling and simulation, providing multivariate mission utility analysis with concurrently integrated tradespace exploration, risk assessment and holistic design facilitates the methodology.

Keywords: mission engineering; mission utility analysis; stochastic design; system-of-systems engineering; mission simulation; mission modelling; mission architecture; analysis of alternatives; AoA; concept development and experimentation; CD&E.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSSE.2017.088447

International Journal of System of Systems Engineering, 2017 Vol.8 No.2, pp.174 - 188

Received: 08 Sep 2017
Accepted: 26 Sep 2017

Published online: 08 Dec 2017 *

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