Title: Carbon dioxide capture: an assessment of plausible ranges

Authors: Ferenc L. Toth, Hans-Holger Rogner

Addresses: Planning and Economic Studies Section, Department of Nuclear Energy, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), P.O. Box 100, Wagramer Str. 5, A-1400 Vienna, Austria. ' Planning and Economic Studies Section, Department of Nuclear Energy, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), P.O. Box 100, Wagramer Str. 5, A-1400 Vienna, Austria

Abstract: The projections of energy related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) serve as point of departure for an assessment of plausible ranges of CO2 emissions that could be avoided through CO2 capture and storage measures. Scenario and time dependent, sector and fuel specific capture factors are developed for eleven world regions to estimate the proportion of CO2 resulting from fossil fuel and biomass combustion/conversion that might be practical to capture and store. The capture factors are applied to the original CO2 emissions scenarios at a highly disaggregated level. The results are summed up and presented. The results indicate that it might be possible to capture and store a significant quantity of energy related CO2, especially in the second quarter of this century. Yet the amounts of CO2 still being emitted remain considerable, suggesting that other technologies will also be needed if the threat of climate change requires large reductions of CO2 emissions over the next few decades.

Keywords: CO2 capture; CO2 storage; capture factors; global energy scenarios; CO2 emissions; climate change mitigation; carbon dioxide capture; fossil fuels; biomass; environmental technology; greenhouse gas emissions.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.2006.008383

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 2006 Vol.25 No.1/2, pp.14 - 59

Available online: 15 Dec 2005 *

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