Title: Is energy-led economic growth causing climatic shift? A causal analysis for India

Authors: Avik Sinha; Joysankar Bhattacharya

Addresses: Department of Economics, Indian Institute of Management Indore, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India ' Department of Economics, Indian Institute of Management Indore, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India

Abstract: This paper examines the proposition that the climatic shift has been responsible for creating adverse effects on economic growth, and the authors have analysed this situation for India. They consider the number of oceanic storms in the Indian Ocean and the annual mean temperature of India for the 1971-2010 periods. Using vector error correction and causality analysis, they have tried to identify the impact of India's fossil fuel-based energy consumption on climatic shift, and have found significant unidirectional and bidirectional causal associations between parameters of climatic shift and drivers of economic growth. The links identified in this paper largely address the missing feedback link issue in the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis.

Keywords: climatic shift; fossil fuel consumption; energy consumption; ocean storms; surface temperature; El Niňo; India; error correction; environmental Kuznets curve; EKC; economic growth; climate change.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGE.2014.065849

International Journal of Green Economics, 2014 Vol.8 No.2, pp.120 - 133

Received: 08 May 2021
Accepted: 12 May 2021

Published online: 24 Nov 2014 *

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