Title: Energy and carbon dioxide emission scenarios for China

Authors: Wei Zhihong

Addresses: Institute of Nuclear Energy Technology, Institute for Techno-economic and Energy System Analysis, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China

Abstract: Energy supply and consumption in China are based on coal, whose use results in lower energy utilization efficiency and serious environmental pollution. China|s special economic structure and energy composition, as well as high energy consumption of industrial products, are the major causes of the higher energy intensity of China|s GNP. Future energy demand is significantly affected by population expansion, economic development, GNP structure and technical progress, etc. On the basis of social and economic development targets or strategies which government departments and institutes have worked out or proposed, and of helpful experiences from the world|s developed countries, three scenarios for energy demand and CO2 emissions by the years 2000 and 2030 have been generated. Energy efficiency improvement and energy alternatives (hydro, nuclear etc.) are the major strategies for abating CO2 emissions, and China has great potentials in both respects.

Keywords: carbon dioxide; CO2; carbon emissions; economic development; energy alternatives; energy demand; energy efficiency; GNP structure; scenario; China; energy supply.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.1994.063528

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 1994 Vol.6 No.1/2, pp.72-80

Published online: 16 Jul 2014 *

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