Title: Outlook for the power sector in a developing African OPEC country: Nigeria case study

Authors: R. 'Layi Fagbenle, T.G. Karayiannis·, T.I. Oyedemi

Addresses: Centre for Energy Studies, School of Engineering Systems and Design, South Bank University, London SE1 0AA, UK. ' Centre for Energy Studies, School of Engineering Systems and Design, South Bank University, London SE1 0AA, UK. ' Mechanical Engineering Department, The Polytechnic, Ibadan, Nigeria

Abstract: The electricity demand in Nigeria, a key developing country in the Africa region, has been estimated to double by the year 2020 based on information drawn from both official planning documents and published statistical data from several international organisations. Continued development of Nigeria|s large hydro resources has been identified as just adequate to meet the electricity demand of the year 2020. Although Nigeria|s abundant petroleum resources are able to meet this power demand, there are serious financial constraints associated with their use. A case has been made for Nigeria to develop a nuclear power reactor base to meet up to 30% of the expected rise in demand due to population pressure and widespread industrialisation. Energy efficiency, which has hitherto been neglected could playa major role in limiting the electric power demand surge of the early twenty-first century. Renewable energy sources are not likely to play any notable role until later in the new millennium and then mainly peak topping solar photovoltaics are envisaged.

Keywords: electricity production; energy consumption; energy needs; energy policy constraints; Nigeria; energy demand; nuclear power; nuclear energy; energy efficiency; renewable energy.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.1998.063295

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 1998 Vol.10 No.2/3/4, pp.155 - 173

Published online: 09 Jul 2014 *

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