Title: Modelling energy demand of Croatian industry sector

Authors: Zlatko Bačelić Medić; Tomislav Pukšec; Brian Vad Mathiesen; Neven Duić

Addresses: Department of Energy, Power Engineering and Environment, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb, Ivana Lučića 5, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia ' Department of Energy, Power Engineering and Environment, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb, Ivana Lučića 5, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia ' Department of Development and Planning, Aalborg University, A.C. Meyers Vænge, DK-2450 Copgenhagen SV, Denmark ' Department of Energy, Power Engineering and Environment, Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Naval Architecture, University of Zagreb, Ivana Lučića 5, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia

Abstract: Industry represents one of the most interesting sectors when analysing Croatian final energy demand. Croatian industry represents 20% of nation's GDP and employs 25% of total labour force making it a significant subject for the economy. Today, with around 60 PJ of final energy demand it is the third most energy intensive sector in Croatia after transport and households. Implementing mechanisms that would lead to improvements in energy efficiency in this sector seems relevant. Through this paper, long-term energy demand projections for Croatian industry will be shown. The central point for development of the model will be parameters influencing the industry in Croatia. Energy demand predictions in this paper are based upon bottom-up approach model. IED model produces results which can be compared to Croatian National Energy Strategy. One of the conclusions shown in this paper is significant possibilities for energy efficiency improvements and lower energy demand in the future.

Keywords: energy demand; industry energy efficiency; modelling; Croatia.

DOI: 10.1504/IJESD.2014.056412

International Journal of Environment and Sustainable Development, 2014 Vol.13 No.1, pp.74 - 92

Available online: 10 Sep 2013 *

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