Title: Comprehensive substantiation of the adaptive development of energy systems in terms of changing external conditions

Authors: N.I. Voropai, S.M. Klimenko, L.D. Krivorutsky, N.I. Pyatkova, V.I. Rabchuk, S.M. Senderov, V.V. Trufanov, M.B. Cheltsov

Addresses: Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia. ' Energy Systems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Siberian Branch, 130, Lermontov Street, Irkutsk 664033, Russia

Abstract: The paper addresses a multi-step technology for comprehensive decision making on the adaptive development of energy systems and the fuel and energy complex as a whole. Consideration is given to the mathematical models applied when using the technology at two levels: the fuel and energy complex and the energy sectors (energy systems). The research technology is illustrated by the example of decision making on the development of Russia|s electric power industry for the long-term future. The recommendations on adaptation of energy systems development to changing external conditions are formulated.

Keywords: energy systems; fuel and energy complex; adaptive development; multi-step technology; Russia.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.2003.004414

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 2003 Vol.20 No.4, pp.416 - 424

Published online: 10 May 2004 *

Full-text access for editors Full-text access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article