Title: The European energy outlook to 2010 and 2030

Authors: Pantelis Capros, Leonidas Mantzos

Addresses: Department of Electrical Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Iroon Politechniou Str., Zografou Campus, GR-157 73, Athens, Greece. ' Department of Electrical Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 9 Iroon Politechniou Str., Zografou Campus, GR-157 73, Athens, Greece

Abstract: This paper presents a consistent EU energy and energy related emissions outlook for the period to 2030. The baseline scenario for the EU was developed using the PRIMES model. The first section presents the key energy features of the baseline outlook of the European energy system. The second section deals with the role of technology progress in the demand and the supply side. Emphasis is given to the role of technological improvement both in the short and the long run. Finally, the paper concludes with the key messages of the outlook.

Keywords: energy analysis; energy forecasting; energy market; environment; European Union.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.2000.004353

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 2000 Vol.14 No.1/2/3/4, pp.137 - 154

Published online: 10 May 2004 *

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