Title: A system for assessment of climatic air pollution levels in Bulgaria: description and first steps towards validation

Authors: Dimiter Syrakov; Valery Spiridonov; Maria Prodanova; Andrey Bogatchev; Nikolai Miloshev; Kostadin Ganev; Eleni Katragkou; Dimitrios Melas; Anastasia Poupkou; Kostas Markakis; Roberto San Jose; Juan Luiz Perez

Addresses: National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 66 Tzarigradsko Chausee, Sofia 1784, Bulgaria. ' National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 66 Tzarigradsko Chausee, Sofia 1784, Bulgaria. ' National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 66 Tzarigradsko Chausee, Sofia 1784, Bulgaria. ' National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, 66 Tzarigradsko Chausee, Sofia 1784, Bulgaria. ' Geophysical Institute, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Acad. G. Bonchev Str., Bl.3, Sofia 1113, Bulgaria. ' Geophysical Institute, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Acad. G. Bonchev Str., Bl.3, Sofia 1113, Bulgaria. ' Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54 124 Thessaloniki, Greece. ' Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54 124 Thessaloniki, Greece. ' Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54 124 Thessaloniki, Greece. ' Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54 124 Thessaloniki, Greece. ' Computer Science School, Technical University of Madrid, Campus de Montegancedo – Boadilla del Monte-28660, Madrid, Spain. ' Computer Science School, Technical University of Madrid, Campus de Montegancedo – Boadilla del Monte-28660, Madrid, Spain

Abstract: The EC FP6 project CECILIA (http://www.cecilia-eu.org) aims at climate change impacts and vulnerability assessment in targeted areas of Central and Eastern Europe. Emphasis is given to regional climate change modelling at resolution of 10 km. The respective weather patterns influence local air quality. For its assessment EPA Models-3 (MM5, CMAQ, SMOKE) is used. The meteorological input is produced by the climatic version of ALADIN weather forecast system. TNO emission inventory for 2000 is exploited. The boundary conditions are extracted from 50-km runs over Europe made in Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Greece. Calculations for the period 1991–2000 are performed, results presented.

Keywords: air pollution; modelling; US-EPA Models-3; regional climate change; impact assessment; air quality; vulnerability assessment; Bulgaria.

DOI: 10.1504/IJEP.2011.042606

International Journal of Environment and Pollution, 2011 Vol.46 No.1/2, pp.18 - 42

Available online: 18 Sep 2011 *

Full-text access for editors Access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article