Title: Risk and uncertainty assessment in the development of strategy for forming the potential of dispatchable generation in the national power system of Ukraine

Authors: A.V. Prakhovnik, V.A. Popov, V.F. Nakhodov

Addresses: National Technical University of Ukraine, 115, Borschagovskaya Str., Kiev, 03056, Ukraine. ' National Technical University of Ukraine, 115, Borschagovskaya Str., Kiev, 03056, Ukraine. ' National Technical University of Ukraine, 115, Borschagovskaya Str., Kiev, 03056, Ukraine

Abstract: An inefficient generation and distribution infrastructure is a serious problem for the national power system of Ukraine. This situation makes it necessary to propose a radical new approach for developing a strategy to meet the demand for dispatchable power generation. Proposed options include: traditional centralised generation, decentralised and alternative energy sources, and use of so-called manoeuvrable loads, such as electrical heating systems. This paper describes an approach based on game theory and elements of fuzzy set theory to solve the problem, taking into account uncertainty of information and the multicriteria character of the problem.

Keywords: power systems; dispatchable power generation; global energy; decentralised energy sources; manoeurable load; game theory; fuzzy sets; uncertainty; multicriteria decision making; MCDM; Ukraine; Central and Eastern Europe; CEE countries.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.2010.037400

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 2010 Vol.34 No.1/2/3/4, pp.132 - 138

Published online: 06 Dec 2010 *

Full-text access for editors Full-text access for subscribers Purchase this article Comment on this article