Title: Detecting uncertainties in project planning: a case of industrial technologies through system dynamics approach

Authors: Muhammad Usama; Ijaz Yusuf; Muhammad Asghar Ali; Muhammad Imran; Abdul Waheed

Addresses: Dr Hasan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, C-II, Johar Town, Lahore, 55000, Pakistan ' School of Management, Forman Christian College University, Ferozepur Road, Lahore, 54600, Pakistan ' Dr Hasan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, C-II, Johar Town, Lahore, 55000, Pakistan ' Dr Hasan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, C-II, Johar Town, Lahore, 55000, Pakistan ' Dr Hasan Murad School of Management, University of Management and Technology, C-II, Johar Town, Lahore, 55000, Pakistan

Abstract: This paper presents an integrated system dynamics model for project planning using simulation software, dynamic modelling. Uncertainties like strategic changes in the projects can delay and disruption at tactical level are the key challenges in successful implementation of projects. This research identifies the roadblocks that prevail in project dynamics. A system dynamics approach is used in this research and a system dynamics model is developed to capture and study the impact of uncertainties on project dynamics during implementation phase and to foresee the project feasibility through the feedback monitoring subsystem developed using technique of earned value analysis. This study supported a belief that plausible policies can mitigate the risk in delays and strategic changes in the project scope. The research proposed distinct policies to balance the uncertainties appearing in the form of strategic changes that delay and disrupt the project planning and implementation. This study shows several implications for information technology managers along with future lines for the researcher to conduct more studies from unlike perspective, worldwide.

Keywords: project planning; technology management; system dynamics; simulation; software project; policy design.

DOI: 10.1504/IJISCM.2025.148628

International Journal of Information Systems and Change Management, 2025 Vol.15 No.2, pp.172 - 186

Received: 30 Sep 2024
Accepted: 26 Apr 2025
Published online: 16 Sep 2025 *

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