Title: An investigation of riskiness in South and Eastern European markets

Authors: Lampros Kalyvas, Athanasios Sfetsos, Costas Siriopoulos, Antonios Georgopoulos

Addresses: Bank of Greece, Department for the Supervision of Credit and Financial Institutions, 3, Amerikis Street, 10564, Athens, Greece. ' EREL, INT-RP, NCSR Demokritos, Patr. Grigoriou & Neapoleos, 15310, Agia Paraskevi, Greece. ' Department of Business Administration, University of Patras, University Campus, 26500, Rion, Greece. ' Department of Business Administration, University of Patras, University Campus, 26500, Rion, Greece

Abstract: The present study adds evidence, from three former emerging and currently transition countries along with two EU member countries of South and Eastern Europe, relevant to the market risk their stock exchanges possess under the same global financial environment. In order to assess market risk, we use four Value-at-Risk methodologies, namely, Historical Simulation (HS), Conditional Historical Simulation (CHS), Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and Conditional Extreme Value Theory (CEVT). Hungary exhibits higher risk under extreme conditions indicating that its market is much more vulnerable than all other markets under study.

Keywords: riskiness; financial markets; financial services; value-at-risk; extreme value theory; historical simulation; south-eastern Europe.

DOI: 10.1504/IJFSM.2007.011669

International Journal of Financial Services Management, 2007 Vol.2 No.1/2, pp.21 - 33

Published online: 14 Dec 2006 *

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