Authors: Dmitry Ivanov; Ajay Das
Addresses: Supply Chain and Operations Management, Department of Business Administration, Berlin School of Economics and Law, 10825, Berlin, Germany ' Narendra Paul Loomba Department of Management, Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College, CUNY-Baruch, CUNY, One Bernard Baruch Way, 10010, New York, NY, USA
Abstract: Firms have learned how to strengthen the resilience of their global supply chains (SC) to confront disruptions triggered by severe disasters. However, a new instigator of SC disruption, quite unlike any seen in recent times, has now emerged – the COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 virus. We model the ripple effect of an epidemic outbreak in global SCs considering the velocity of pandemic propagation, the duration of production, distribution and market disruption, and a demand decline. We analyse pandemic supply risk mitigation measures and potential recovery paths. Implications for future research and global SC (re)-designs are also discussed.
Keywords: supply chain; risk management; resilience; epidemic outbreak; Coronavirus; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; pandemic plan; simulation; digital twin; ripple effect.
International Journal of Integrated Supply Management, 2020 Vol.13 No.1, pp.90 - 102
Received: 08 May 2021
Accepted: 12 May 2021
Published online: 16 Jun 2020 *