Title: Coronavirus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) and supply chain resilience: a research note

Authors: Dmitry Ivanov; Ajay Das

Addresses: Supply Chain and Operations Management, Department of Business Administration, Berlin School of Economics and Law, 10825, Berlin, Germany ' Narendra Paul Loomba Department of Management, Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College, CUNY-Baruch, CUNY, One Bernard Baruch Way, 10010, New York, NY, USA

Abstract: Firms have learned how to strengthen the resilience of their global supply chains (SC) to confront disruptions triggered by severe disasters. However, a new instigator of SC disruption, quite unlike any seen in recent times, has now emerged – the COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 virus. We model the ripple effect of an epidemic outbreak in global SCs considering the velocity of pandemic propagation, the duration of production, distribution and market disruption, and a demand decline. We analyse pandemic supply risk mitigation measures and potential recovery paths. Implications for future research and global SC (re)-designs are also discussed.

Keywords: supply chain; risk management; resilience; epidemic outbreak; Coronavirus; COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; pandemic plan; simulation; digital twin; ripple effect.

DOI: 10.1504/IJISM.2020.107780

International Journal of Integrated Supply Management, 2020 Vol.13 No.1, pp.90 - 102

Published online: 17 Jun 2020 *

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