Title: Developing a systematic methodology to build a systems dynamics model for assessment of non-technical risks in power plants

Authors: Sahar Mohammad Al Mashaqbeh; Jose Eduardo Munive-Hernandez; Mohammed Khurshid Khan; Awni Al Khazaleh

Addresses: Department of Mechanical and Energy Systems Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, University of Bradford, Bradford, BD7 1DP, UK; Faculty of Engineering, Hashemite University, Zarqa, Jordan ' School of Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Informatics, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK ' Abdul Wali Khan University Mardan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan ' Prince Hussein bin Abdullah II Academy of Civil Protection, Fire and Safety Engineering Department, Amman, Jordan

Abstract: In a dynamic business environment like the energy sector, power plants face several complex risks, including both technical and non-technical risks. These risks are not isolated, as their impact may affect a series of interrelated risks. Those risks may change with time, which in turn, makes the strategic decision-making process less effective. Understanding the dynamic behaviour of a complex system is very important to achieve a more sustainable overall performance of the power plants. Thus, it is important to further develop a systematic risk assessment methodology that could help to identify and analyse the interdependencies among risks and to understand the dynamics of these risks in complex systems. This paper develops a system dynamics (SD) methodology to support the development of risk assessment models. This paper highlights the environmental perspective. The first step to develop a SD model will be applied, while the final SD model will be discussed in another paper.

Keywords: system dynamic; risk assessment; failure mode and effect analysis; non-technical risks.

DOI: 10.1504/IJSSE.2020.105423

International Journal of System of Systems Engineering, 2020 Vol.10 No.1, pp.39 - 71

Received: 10 May 2019
Accepted: 09 Jul 2019

Published online: 20 Feb 2020 *

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